The IMF raises its growth estimate for the Saudi economy to 4.8% during 2022


The Ministry of Finance welcomes the final statement.

The Ministry of Finance welcomed the final statement issued by the IMF experts’ mission following the conclusion of the hypothetical Article IV consultations with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for the year 2021, which took place during the month (April 2021 AD), where the statement stated that the economic reforms in the Kingdom have achieved positive results, expecting the continued recovery of the economy with The unemployment rate fell and the CPI inflation slowed.

According to IMF experts’ forecasts, real GDP growth will reach 2.1% this year and 4.8% in 2022 (compared to a 4.1% decline in 2020).

The real non-oil GDP growth rate recovered in the second half of 2020, and high-frequency indicators indicate a continued recovery in 2021.

Non-oil growth is expected to reach 3.9% in 2021 and 3.6% in 2022, compared to a decline of 2.3% in 2020, and in light of the levels of oil production agreed upon by the OPEC + group, the growth of oil GDP is expected to reach The real is -0.5% in 2021 AD (compared to -6.7% in 2020 AD), to reach 6.8% in 2022 AD, as the OPEC + agreement is supposed to expire, as announced.

The statement praised the success of the Kingdom’s government in reducing the incidence and deaths resulting from the Corona pandemic, thanks to the rapid and resolute response to the pandemic, praising the role of the public finance, financial sector and employment support programs launched by the government and the Saudi Central Bank in mitigating the financial and economic repercussions of the Corona pandemic on individuals and the private sector. This coincided with the great progress in implementing the vaccination campaign in recent months.

The statement indicated that the Saudi economy was able to manage the crisis thanks to the efforts consistent with the directions of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 aimed at establishing a strong structure for governance and cooperation between ministries and agencies, and the expansion of the pace of digital transformation at the level of government and financial services, and the fiscal and financial sector policies that allowed strong margins of safety and flexibility in freedom. Job mobility in the labor market.

The closing statement noted the tangible improvement in the framework of fiscal policy, government spending management and financial transparency, praising the progress made by the “Etimad” platform in strengthening government financial management.

The statement also welcomed the reforms aimed at strengthening the methodology of providing support in social protection programs, stressing the importance of continuing to provide the necessary support to the most affected groups.

In terms of monetary policies, the financial sector and exchange rates, the statement praised the strength of the financial sector and the efforts of the Central Bank of Saudi Arabia in strengthening the regulatory and supervisory frameworks, including programs to support the private sector during the crisis, which contributed to enhancing financial stability.

He commended the Capital Market Authority and the National Center for Debt Management with reforms aimed at strengthening stock and bond markets, which provided companies with more options to increase capital and more investment opportunities for savers, stressing the continued relevance of linking the exchange rate to the dollar.

On the level of Saudi women’s participation in the labor market, the statement praised the steps taken by the Kingdom in this regard, as it is estimated that the participation rate of Saudi women in the workforce increased by 13 percentage points to exceed 33% during the past two years. The statement also welcomed the “Saudi Green Initiative.” And what it will achieve in supporting growth rates, employment and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

For his part, Finance Minister Mohammed bin Abdullah Al-Jadaan said: “The statement confirms the Kingdom’s government’s success in achieving tangible good results within a year that is the most difficult for the whole world, given the repercussions of the Corona pandemic, fluctuations in oil prices, sharp economic fluctuations, declining global demand, slowing growth and other challenges that it has overcome. The Kingdom’s government, while continuing to implement the programs, plans and objectives of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030, has enabled the Kingdom’s government to implement many economic and structural reforms, which demonstrate the soundness of the efforts made by the financial system in developing the financial sector in the Kingdom, in order to achieve financial sustainability that enhances Of the strength and strength of the Saudi economy despite all the circumstances and challenges. ”


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