The difference in expectations about when and where the Chinese Long March 5B missile, which has lost control, has led to a state of tension, anxiety and ambiguity, especially about where the missile will land.The American “CNN” channel, according to a number of specialists in the field of astronomy, said that the missile would fall in a populated place, which raised great concern, especially since the weight of the missile debris reaches more than 20 tons.
On the other hand, other reports said that the debris will fall over Azerbaijan.
China is safe
And based on the latest expectations that China is safe from the arrival of any debris to it, while pieces will pass over countries and other parts pass over other countries.
For his part, “Space” reported that the US company Aerospace Corp, which tracks this missile, revealed that the announced date that the missile will fall on Sunday morning 4:53 AM Saudi time is not accurate despite its expectations, but it may be delayed or 11 hours earlier. .
Falling into the ocean
Harvard University astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell says the debris is potentially dangerous and could escape from combustion while entering the atmosphere, but it is more likely to fall into the sea, given that 70% of the planet is covered by water.
This is the second time in recent memory that a Chinese Long March 5B missile of the same type has fallen uncontrollably; Ford said that in 2020 a piece of another missile landed in populated villages in Côte d’Ivoire, fortunately, no casualties.
There is a great deal of uncertainty about where and when this happens, because this location depends on the current altitude of the Earth’s atmosphere, which varies with solar activity, the angle of the missile body when it hits the atmosphere, and the size of the pieces that pass through it without combustion, among other factors.
“The orbital inclination of the missile stage of 41.5 degrees means that re-entry could be as north as Chicago, New York, Rome, Beijing and south as New Zealand and Chile,” Aerospace Corp. wrote.