Additional Russian pressure on Turkey … and Egypt waiting


Cairo | Once again, the Russians are entering the calm line in the Libyan war, after previous mediation at the beginning of the flare-up of the crisis, at a time when Egyptian military sources modified their appreciation for the possible confrontation with the Turkish forces, especially those arriving in the capital Tripoli as part of preparations to try to control the Sirte-Jafra axis, which is the line Al-Ahmar, which Egypt has designated to implement direct military intervention, while the latter continues to reinforce the forces of its ally, Field Marshal Khalifa Hifter, in the face of the government of “National Accord”, which is supported exclusively by Turkey now. Sources keep abreast of “intense consultation” between Moscow and Ankara, amid talk of arrangements to hold public meetings between the Turks and the Russians on the situation in Libya, in parallel with a visit by President of the “Agreement”, Fayez al-Sarraj, to Ankara again, in order to discuss what can be achieved on the ground Currently.

According to the undeclared Egyptian-Russian contacts, there is “strong pressure from Moscow on Ankara to stop the fighting and avoid confrontation, at least for the next few days, to search for solutions that satisfy everyone,” foremost of which is the international control over the oil crescent area, which Egypt agrees to, Provided that Turkish forces do not participate in it, and the same is true for Turkey, which rejects any Egyptian military presence on the ground, including training tribesmen, the step announced by President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi some time ago. The Russians warn that any military confrontation “will have grave consequences” for both sides, and they show an understanding of the Turkish fears and the Saraj government they seek to reassure about its fate, but within a consensual formula that allows for a political dialogue that can begin.

Moscow warns that any military confrontation “will have disastrous consequences”

In parallel, Egypt continues to exert diplomatic pressure on the European countries concerned on more than one path, the last of which was its request from the capitals of the union to coordinate with the “National Army”, which in turn announced the flight of about a thousand Syrian mercenaries to Europe, a number that is much higher than the initial estimates, and it seems that it aims to To stir up European panic, especially with the growing differences between the countries of the European Union over the Libyan crisis. The focus in this framework is on Germany, in the hope that it will change its approach, while France welcomes a temporary military settlement on the ground with Egyptian and Saudi assistance for Haftar, before starting any negotiations, especially since the results achieved by Turkey on the ground have restored equal opportunities between the two parties to the conflict, at a time that has not In it the Italian options are decided.
As for the United States, the sources say that, despite the presence of contacts on a wide intelligence level during the past days, the contacts did not include any serious offers to prevent the clash, but rather “confirmed that neither of the two parties, Cairo and Ankara, would carry out military actions on the ground without informing Washington” Enough ahead of it, ”amid Egyptian demands for a US adoption of the deployment of international forces in the oil-producing Crescent. Cairo estimates that Washington wants to avoid entering into the Libyan crisis directly, leaving the largest role for European countries, provided that Russia does not exclusively decide, while also making sure that the situation in the region is not entirely in the interests of Egypt or Turkey. Indeed, there is an estimate that the American view is that the situation remains stable until the presidential elections, which the French and Germans reject, according to the same sources.
In the field, the Egyptian army and other countries are assisting Haftar’s forces with great support. The latter authorized the announcement of the fortification of its defenses in Sirte by land, sea, and air, to what she said was the deployment of the S300 missile system in Sirte and Jafra, with its readiness to deal with ships approaching the coast up to 100 km in The areas it controls, in a path that reflects the intensity of reinforcements that have arrived from Egypt in recent weeks, especially as the Egyptian army continues to follow closely the quantities of weapons that reach Tripoli.


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